Young Folk Portfolio.
Va a ser 2021 interesante…
" INVESTMENT THESIS FOR 2021 …
As I have previously discussed, this portfolio, after 11 years since formed, has exceeded both it’s dividend cash flow and total return objectives that were established 11 years ago. Since the objectives have been exceeded, this provides me other opportunities to help improve the performance of the portfolio for the long term.
Since most of the companies in this portfolio have been owned for 5 years or more, I know where the strengths and weaknesses are with regard to performance. Thus it is my desire to cull the weak and add to the strong.
My goal is to add to every company that is up 100% or more. I want more of my best performers, not less of them. I don’t want more of my under-performers and continue to throw money at them in hopes they finally turn around. I will trim or liquidate weakness to add to strength. I have already added to most of my best performers and will now finish adding the the rest.
When I started this portfolio out, I didn’t know who was going to perform and who wasn’t. Every company I purchased I thought was a good investment at the time, it turned out they all weren’t and I will manage the portfolio so that what we do own does perform as expected.
The other part of that initial scenario was to diversify and own a considerable number of companies, equally weighted, in order to spread my risks, but now that I know who is performing well, I can trim the number of holdings and hold a smaller number of companies.
This takes me to the second part of my 2021 investment thesis for this portfolio.
As many of you know, the better a company performs, and the higher the price rises, the more difficult it is to justify continuing to add to it. This often leads us into a situation where we look at our best performing companies and then say, I wish I owned more of it. You could have but you refused to, you were unwilling to take those risks. I’m not unwilling to do so and it’s easier for me because the portfolio is so far ahead of where it is supposed be be at this stage of the 40 year time frame.
So here’s my next step. I am going to determine who my best 2 ideas are for 2021 and I am going to mostly add to them all year long, making them my largest holdings in this portfolio. If my best ideas work out, and my positions are sized for impact, then the performance should be overwhelming when compared to market results and my personal goals for where this portfolio needs to be at the end of 2021.
So here are my 2 best ideas for 2021. … TSLA and ARKG.
I am of the belief, after many hours of research, that the genomic sector is truly ready for Prime Time and I intend on taking advantage of that in the event it is true. If it isn’t, I still have a diversified portfolio of stocks for ballast.
2021 GOALS:
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Add to any company up over 100% in total return.
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Build TSLA and ARKG to be the largest holdings in this portfolio."
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"I’ll bet out of the group you mentioned, you might have been able to pick one or two that could be huge long term performers. That’s what I hope to do with TSLA and ARKG, but if it doesn’t work out the way I expect, I will manage the positions accordingly with the first order of business being me no longer adding to them.
It’s okay to try and then fail. It’s not okay to not try. I can learn from my mistakes, I can’t learn from doing nothing."