Disruptive Innovation - High Growth Blog.
Guía de inversión de @Chowder para estas empresas.
En su cartera-legado tiene: CRM … CRWD … NIO … ROKU … SBE … SE … SNOW … SQ … TDOC … TSLA … TWLO … Z
ARKK … ARKW … ARKF … ARKG
" It was time for reflection, it was time for a reevaluation of goals, do I preserve capital, or do I go for growth. I started to think. Well, I have more than I need, and I sure can’t take it with me, but as I get older I keep thinking I need a purpose. I need something to keep me going, to give me something to look forward to, something I can get excited about and that led me to here. … Why not build something even greater? Why not leave a legacy behind? At my age it is not uncommon to wonder about that, to have your life have more value than raising a family, why not give them something better than that as long as they have shown a willingness to depend on themselves and not me. … I said go for it!
This time I know what to do. Identify the secular and mega trends. Our society as a whole is at a crossroad seen like no other since WWll. There is no status quo, changes are being made and more changes are coming. The way people live 20 - 30 years from now won’t come close to resembling the way we lived just 10 years ago. What industries, what sectors, what companies will be part of that revolution? … Okay, getting my mind right. Stirring the mental pot, looking for ideas, and I’ll be damned, they are staring us right in the face, begging us to take advantage of them.Blockchain technology … genome sequencing … artificial intelligence … robotics … next generation internet.
This is where the growth is going to come from. These are the industries where the next MSFT, AMZN, FB, GOOGL and NFLX will come from. Which up and coming companies? I don’t know, but here’s what I do know.I can look at the various companies within these industries and sectors and identify the ones early in their growth phase who are showing growing revenues. The value investor will ignore these companies because they have no earnings, they have too much debt, but it’s those things that kept the value investor out of AMZN early in their career. It’s what kept the value investors from investing in TSLA and they just paid a heavy price for doing so. The index funds, which try to be value based, were insanely underfunded in TSLA, and as a result were forced to buy over 100 million shares at $695 each, an all-time high price. … Value anyone?
AMZN is now up over 163,000% and I read an article today where value investors are trying to determine a fair value entry point.Okay, enough of that, here’s what I learned from getting crushed during the last bubble. When you identify a company you want to own, forget about valuation, they don’t have the numbers that value investors use as their criteria for a price target. You have to believe in the story, it’s why they are called story stocks, and then I focus on revenue growth.
Once I identify those two pieces of criteria, I go in small, and this is perfect in today’s environment because unlike back during the bubble days, where I had to buy round lots and pay commissions, you can now go in with $300, $500, $1,000 lots and establish a position.
Once in the position, share price has one purpose only. Who do I add to? … You add to strength! … This is important, especially more so with new companies, never, ever average down on cost UNLESS some market moving news comes out that the market reacts to favorably.
At this time, CRWD is up 42% for me. TSLA is up 35%. ROKU is up 30.42%. SNOW is up 28%.
TSLA is being set up on a monthly purchase program but with the others, those 3 companies are the ones I will look to add to first. They are my best performers and I want more of my best.CRM is down 13% and NIO is down 15% and if I was trading, I might buy those lows, but I am not trading, I am looking for my next AMZN so I will not throw good money after bad. That is what killed me during the tech crash. … I was stupid enough to listen to the herd that said, if you liked it at $20, you should love it at $10. I added to it and I can assure you, although I loved it at $10, I hated it at $1, and I had a few of those. … So, I might like NIO at $47, but I’m not going to love it until $57. … Ha!
Build on strength!
And speaking of building, in the spirit of maintaining the proper mindset, and managing your emotions, build small. Add in $500 lots, $1,000 lots and do so around earnings time. Wait to see what these companies report and more importantly, how the market reacts to those reports. Most people are looking to buy the dips. Don’t be a dip and buy off that weak company performance, because for new companies, it isn’t the share price that is now important, it’s company performance, it has to keep growing. You buy the dips on well established companies, you buy the rips on up and coming hyper growth companies. This is a concept that is difficult for people to grasp, but in learning how to do so, buy small, buy often, and learn as you go.
It doesn’t matter what style or strategy you use in investing, if you want to succeed at any of them, ya gotta get your mind right! … What are you waiting for?"